Author(s): A. Márquez; D. Romero; M. González; E. Guevara
Linked Author(s): Cecilia Andrea De Los Angeles Ponce Romero
Keywords: Reservoir operation; Time series; Storage volume
Abstract: In this study, the Canoabo reservoir storage volume variation is analyzed during the period 1993-2009. The analysis of the time series is performed by representing the time series of volume and test application: autocorrelation, randomness and prediction models. It was found that since the operation of the same; useful and total volumes have not been overcome, so it never relieved design channels. It is evident that the storage volumes have fallen below the dead volume. The ARIMA model (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) (2,2, 1) has been found as the one that fits the observations, however, the forecast model statisticals show significant differences between estimates and observations in the validation stage.
Year: 2014