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Monthly Reservoir Operating Rules Generated by Implicit Stochastic Optimization and Self-Organizing Maps

Author(s): C. A. S. Farias; E. C. M. Machado; L. N. Brasiliano

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Abstract: This paper reports on the application of Implicit Stochastic Optimization (ISO) and SelfOrganizing Maps (SOM) to determine monthly operating policies for a reservoir system located in semiarid Brazil. Three steps define the ISO-SOM model: (1) generation of monthly inflow scenarios; (2) determinist optimization of the system operation under the generated inflow scenarios; and (3) development of monthly rules by means of SOM, which consists of conditioning allocation coefficients on initial reservoir storage and current inflow. The study demonstrates the superiority of ISO-SOM model over the standard rules of reservoir operation, especially during drought spells.

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Year: 2016

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