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Evaluation of Five Hydrologic Models for Real-Time Flood Forecasting Use in the Yangtze River Catchment

Author(s): M. S. Markar; Ricky T. F. Kwan; A. L. Conroy; Mingxin Li; Jing Zheng; Lina An

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Keywords: Yangtze River; Hydrologic modeling; Flood forecasting

Abstract: The Yangtze River Flood Control and Management Project aims to improve the reliability, accuracy and lead times of forecast flood discharges and flood levels along the upper and middle reaches of the Yangtze River between Chongqing and Wuhan. A key component of this project is the development of an integrated real-time flood forecasting system for the above reaches. As part of the hydrologic model evaluation and selection process, a comparative study was carried out for five well-established models to assess their performance and suitability for use in real-time flood forecasting in the Yangtze River catchment. The five models were Xinanjiang (Chinese), API (Chinese), URBS (Australian), RAFTS (Australian) and HEC-HMS (United States). This paper describes the evaluation of the hydrological performance of the five models and presents the findings to date on their suitability for use in the Yangtze River flood forecasting system.

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Year: 2002

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