Author(s): Barry Evans; Lydia Vamvakeridou-Lyroudia; Janez Susnik; Antonio Trabucco; Simone Mereu; Xavier Domingo; Chengzi Chew; Gan Savic
Linked Author(s):
Keywords: Nexus; SDM; Serious Gaming; Thematic Models
Abstract: Water, land, food, energy, and climate are all interconnected, comprising a coherent system (the ‘Nexus’), dominated by complexity and feedback. The interactions between these different nexus components and their responses to climate change conditions are complicated as each feedback into the other. Consequently future policies should take into account the whole Nexus, when it comes to ascertain their long term impact on the system. This paper presents the conception of a System Dynamic Model (SDM) representing the Nexus, populating it with data from various sources (including output from specific thematic models covering different Nexus components), under different climate change and socioeconomic pathway scenarios. The SDM is then converted into R scripting to be included in the Knowledge Elicitation Engine (KEE) communicating with a Serious Game (SG). Models and games are built specifically for ten Case Studies, at regional, national, continental and global level. The SG is being developed for decision making for local stakeholders to study and get acquainted to long term impacts of different policies on the Nexus. In this paper the regional Case Study of Sardinia is presented as proof of concept.
Year: 2018