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The Effect of Climate Change on Danube Flow Regime

Author(s): B. Gauzer; O. Starosolszky

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Abstract: Water management of the Danube River, largest in Central-Europe depends on the changes in the flow regime due to climate change. The consequences of the climate change over the upstream catchment may have an impact of the water supply and use along the riparian countries. Climate change scenarios are available for Central Europe as part of the global climate modeling. The change of monthly temperature and precipitation patterns can be derived and the generated data sets can be used for precipitation-runoff models. The simulation of the daily flow for the streamgauging stations can be bused upon observed daily discharge time series of different selected periods. This method was used for the study of the simulated river flows for selected hydrological observing stations and for the evaluation of the simulated time series for three stations (Wasserburg-Inn, Pfelling-Danube and Nagymaros-Danube). The effect of the temperature and precipitation changes causes shift in the time of floods and in the ratio of the flows due to snowmelt. The study was supported by the PECO Project of the European Union Commission.

DOI:

Year: 1997

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