Author(s): A. A. Bogdanovsky; I. E. Kochergin; S. A. Pokrashenko; J. A. Wardrop; O. I. Zilberstein; I. A. Arshinov; S. I. Rybalko; N. S. Kupera
Linked Author(s):
Keywords: Oil Spill Modeling; Aniva; Hokkaido; Shoreline Impact; Sea Ice
Abstract: This paper describes the approach for oil spill trajectory modeling, associated with the “worst case” scenario for Sakhalin II Project operations in Aniva Bay and adjacent seas. Spills of Vityaz crude oil and HFO (tanker fuel) were modeled along the western tanker route and at the Sakhalin II Tanker Loading Unit (TLU) near Prigorodnoye (Aniva Bay). Typical oil drift trajectories were calculated for all seasons, including winter with ice condition. Scenarios with fastest shoreline impact (both Russian and Japanese shorelines) were modeled. Probabilities of presented trajectories were also calculated.
Year: 2006