Author(s): A. B. Cavalli; V. V. Ilinich; M. Y. Lapushkin; A. A. Naumova
Linked Author(s): Vitaly Ilinich
Keywords: Climate change; Maximum runoff; Storm modeling; Precipitation
Abstract: The article is devoted to the modeling and estimation of the change in the maximum dailyprecipitation in the northern district of Moscow and the nearest Moscow suburbs against the background of changes in the average annual air temperatures and its average temperatures over the warm seasons. Special statistical methods used in hydrometeorology were used to assess changes. The obtained results indicate an increase in the calculated values of the hazardous precipitation and their occurrence frequency in the region during the last decades, which must be taken into account in the calculation of surface runoff for hydro-technical constructions and environmental objects. The special method of Monte-Carlo is offered for simulation of storm precipitation.
Year: 2018