Author(s): yvind Pedersen; Lars Jenssen; Hakon Toftaker; Hanne Novik; Eivind Solvang; Siri Stokseth
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Abstract: Sedimentation in hydro-power reservoirs can cause adverse outcomes such as damage to components or unexpected downtime. The STRIVAN research project aims to develop a risk-based model to quantify and compare the net present value of mitigation measures. Quantifying risks involves calculating the probability of outcomes as well as the consequence. This work discusses a Monte Carlo simulation approach to estimating probability distributions for outcomes. Monte Carlo simulations combined with a one-dimensional (1D) quasiunsteady sediment transport model has been implemented in a case study.
Year: 2022