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Study on the Decision-Making Method for Reservoir Operation Scheme Based on Bayesian Model

Author(s): Minglei Ren, Xiaoyan He, Hui Li, Xiaoming Jiang

Linked Author(s): Minglei Ren

Keywords: Bayesian model, reservoir operation scheme, decision-making

Abstract: Based on the theory of Bayesian model, and combined with the feature and requirement of decision-making method for reservoir operation scheme, a new decision-making method for reservoir operation scheme based on Bayesian model is proposed in this paper and applied for Zhangze reservoir in Shanxi province, China. The instance application shows that: the new decision-making method based on Bayesian model could provide a scientific, reasonable, and accurate decision-making method for reservoir operation scheme. This method not only could improve the reservoir management level of safe operation, but could also improve the utility ratio of water resources and hydro-energy resources

DOI:

Year: 2017

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