Author(s): Gi Joo Kim, Young-Oh Kim, Hae Na Yoon, Young-Oh Kim

Linked Author(s): Gi Joo Kim, Young-Oh Kim, Young-Oh Kim

Keywords: Multi-year Drought; Shared Vision Planning; System Dynamics; Stakeholder Participation Model;

Abstract: Damage due to multi-year droughts mainly caused by climate change are increasing worldwide, and Korea was also affected by the drought that took place from 2015 to 2017. Also, traditional unilateral decision making processes to alleviate the damage from droughts have resulted in conflicts between many involved groups, the need for active participation from both stakeholders and policymakers has become more important than before. In this research, ‘Shared Vision Planning,’ a collaborative approach that involves participation from various groups of stakeholders, was applied in a research area by organizing a Water Policy Council. Moreover, a ‘Shared Vision Model’ was developed with the stakeholders by using STELLA Architect software and by applying the concept of System Dynamics. Multiple simulations that include various future climate change scenarios were selected to measure the risk from potential droughts. As a result, the source of water supply, proved to be more vulnerable than the districts in all three aspects of performance indices, reliability, resiliency, and vulnerability. Moreover, although total water deficit in the districts was not very significant, discordance between the districts where the alternatives to prevent water shortage is being developed and where water deficit is projected to happen should be managed. In the future, the model will be further modified according to the stakeholders’ needs, with possible seminars to educate the stakeholders for easier use of the developed model.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.3850/38WC092019-1599

Year: 2019